UPDATE, noon ET, Nov. 15 — This story has been updated to reflect new reports regarding snow accumulations in Ridgefield Thursday, Nov. 15.

Winter is set to touchdown in the tri-state area earlier than most expected.

According to the National Weather Service, there's a moderate potential for an accumulating snow in Fairfield County Thursday into Thursday night. Snowfall amounts range between three to six inches, with the highest amounts north of NYC.

"Travel may become hazardous due to poor visibility and slippery roads, especially during the Thursday evening commute," the weather service said in its report Tuesday night.

Confidence

Per the weather service, confidence in the snow storm is increasing:















  • Snowfall across much of the forecast area beginning midday Thursday and continuing into Thursday night before precipitation begins to transition to rain. In addition, several hundredths of an inch of freezing rain are possible across portions of the interior. 

  • Uncertainty remains in the timing of the transition from snow to rain Thursday evening into Thursday night, as well as how quickly warm air will be able to move into the area along the coast. This will impact the amount of snow that is able to accumulate, especially from NYC east.

  • A low track closer to the coast will mean snow will occur further inland, decreasing the amount of snow across Long Island and southeast Connecticut.

  • A low track farther from the coast will mean snow will occur closer to the coast, increasing the amount of snow possible across Long Island and southeast Connecticut.