Farmers' Almanac releases 2022-23 fall and winter forecasts for Connecticut

Photo of Abby Weiss

After a stiflingly hot summer, Connecticut residents should brace for unusually cold winter, a new report says.

According to the Farmers’ Almanac's 2022 fall weather outlook, the cold is expected to begin in the latter half of November and continue through the rest of 2022.

Farmers' Almanac also released its 2022-23 winter outlook, and predicts winter will start earlier than it did last year and consist of nationwide storms in December. In January 2023, the eastern two-thirds of the country is expected to face one of the “coldest outbreaks of arctic air we’ve seen in several years,” with temperatures reaching up to 40 degrees below zero, the outlook said. 

According to the website's forecast, mid-September will be stormy, and the week of Sept. 12 will have scattered showers. Farmers' Almanac also forecasted a hurricane threat for the Atlantic Seaboard that week. 

October will have “quite a few cloudy, windy and showery days," with peak foliage occurring in Connecticut from Oct. 12 to 28.

While New England is a popular destination for tourists interested in viewing fall leaves, the current droughts in the region may affect the vibrancy of the foliage.

“Drought is the enemy of a good fall,” Howard Neufeld, a biology professor at Appalachian State University in North Carolina, told Farmers' Almanac. “The trees have to be in a healthy state, not water-stressed, heading into the season.”

In New England, many parts of Maine and northern New Hampshire are experiencing abnormally dry conditions, which could impact the intensity of fall foliage, the fall report said. As of Aug. 11, Connecticut's Windham and New London counties are experiencing “severe drought” levels; Litchfield, Hartford, Tolland and Middlesex counties are at the “moderate drought” level; New Haven and Fairfield counties are experiencing “abnormally dry” conditions, according to a Farmers' Almanac map

Farmers’ Almanac predicts many locations will see their first snowflakes during November and before winter starts in late December. The month of December is expected to be stormy and cold nationwide, the report said.

During the winter season, an active storm track is likely to sweep the eastern half of the country, running from the western Gulf of Mexico to the Northeast and across New York State and New England, the report said.

Farmers' Almanac winter 2022-23 outlook. 

Farmers' Almanac winter 2022-23 outlook. 

Farmers' Almanac/Contributed photo

From Jan. 16 to 23, the eastern two-thirds of the country is expected to see heavy rain and snow, followed by an outbreak of arctic air and record-breaking cold temperatures.

“A cold December and a very cold January might make readers in the Northeast shake and shiver. But February will bring milder temperatures that should make winter seem more bearable,” it said.

The outlook predicts a stormy latter half of March, including heavy snows, torrents of rain and gusty thunderstorms across much of the nation.

Farmer’s Almanac 2021-22 report predicted the nor'easter in October and a stormy second of week of January, especially along the Atlantic Seaboard. From Jan. 28 to 30, a nor'easter dumped one to two feet of snow across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast regions.

In contrast to this year’s temperature predictions, the 2021-22 winter season was the lower 48 states' third-warmest and 12th-driest winter in the 127-year period of record, with more than 61% of the contiguous U.S. experiencing some levels of drought from December to February 2021-22 and above average temperatures in December.

Farmers' Almanac looks at sun spot activity, tidal action of the moon, position of the planet and other factors to create their forecast, managing editor Sandi Duncan said in a last year's weather predictions. Readers say the publication's past weather predictions have been 80 to 85% accurate, she said.